Antecedents of war: the geopolitics of low oil prices and decelerating financial liquidity
Hany Abdel‐LatifEconomics Department, Swansea University, Swansea, UKMahmoud A. El‐GamalRice University, Houston, USA
2018en
ABI
Abstract
We investigate the joint dynamics of oil prices, financial liquidity and geopolitical risk, within a multi-country global vector autoregressive model. We find that low oil prices are expected to trigger higher levels of geopolitical risk and that decelerating financial liquidity serves as an accelerator.
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Cited by 20 references