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Analyzing the mechanism between nuclear energy consumption and carbon emissions: Fresh insights from novel bootstrap rolling-window approach

Muhammad IrfanCenter for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, ChinaTomiwa Sunday AdebayoDepartment of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Cyprus International University, Haspolat, TurkeyJinyang CaiSchool of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, ChinaHazar DördüncüFaculty of Economics, Administrative and Social Sciences, Department of International Trade and Logistics, Nisantasi University, Istanbul, TurkeyFarrukh ShahzadSchool of Economics and Management, Guangdong University of Petrochemical Technology, Maonan, Maoming, China
2022en
ABI

Abstract

This research utilizes a bootstrap rolling-window (BRW) causality test to explore the causal interrelationship between nuclear energy consumption (NUC) and carbon dioxide emissions (CO 2 ) in 6 developed countries from 1980 to 2020. When there are structural shifts in the full-sample time series, empirical research exploring causality between two-time series generates erroneous conclusions. On the other hand, the BRW method allows researchers to find potential time-varying causality between time series using sub-sample data. The outcomes of the BRW causality test disclosed the following results: (i) a unidirectional negative causality from NUC to CO 2 without feedback was found for Japan; (ii) a negative causality at sup-sample periods from NUC to CO 2 surfaced at the sub-sample period while a positive causality surfaced from NUC to CO 2 in sub-sample period for the United States of America (USA) and France; (iii) a negative feedback causality between NUC and CO 2 was found For Canada; (iv) a positive unidirectional causality surfaced from NUC to CO 2 was found for Germany, which implies that consumption of NUC worsens the environment in the sub-sampled period. The results may have policy consequences for the selected developed countries regarding NUC and CO 2 nexus.

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