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Article

Market Size in Innovation: Theory and Evidence from the Pharmaceutical Industry

Daron AcemoğluMassachusetts Institute of TechnologyJoshua LinnMassachusetts Institute of Technology
2004en
ABI

Abstract

This paper investigates the effect of (potential) market size on entry of new drugs and pharmaceutical innovation. Focusing on exogenous changes driven by U. S. demographic trends, we find a large effect of potential market size on the entry of nongeneric drugs and new molecular entities. These effects are generally robust to controlling for a variety of supply-side factors and changes in the technology of pharmaceutical research. I.

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Citations and references

Cited by 20 references