Skip to main content
Article

Does the <i>h</i> index have predictive power?

J. E. HirschDepartment of Physics, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093-0319
2007en
ABI

Abstract

Bibliometric measures of individual scientific achievement are of particular interest if they can be used to predict future achievement. Here we report results of an empirical study of the predictive power of the h index compared with other indicators. Our findings indicate that the h index is better than other indicators considered (total citation count, citations per paper, and total paper count) in predicting future scientific achievement. We discuss reasons for the superiority of the h index.

Identifiers

Citations and references

Cited by 20 references