Статья

Determinants of Exchange Rate Fluctuations of Uzbek Sum

Zafar BerdinazarovStatistics and Research department of the Central Bank of UzbekistanKhasanjon DodoevEconomist at Statistics and Research Department of the Central Bank of UzbekistanJamshid MamasalaevEconomist at Statistics and Research Department of the Central Bank of UzbekistanJakhongirmirzo FakhodjonovEconomist at Statistics and Research Department of the Central Bank of Uzbekistan

Business and Management Studiesjournal2019en

ABI

Аннотация

This paper examines the determinants of exchange rate fluctuations of Uzbek sum by using three econometric models OLS (Ordinary Least Squares), ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) and ML ARCH (Multivariate Long memory Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskadasticity). Model results show that the effects of money supply and remittances to the nominal and real exchange rates (USD/UZS) are found statistically significant; the impacts of inflation and interest rate are not econometrically meaningful. Also, it should be noted that the level of net trade influences to the exchange rate is not conclusive in our econometric analysis.

Темы

Economic Analysis and Policy Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Economic Growth and Productivity

Идентификаторы

DOI: 10.11114/bms.v5i1.4162

Цитирования и источники

Цитирований: 0Использованных источников: 16

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