Analysis of Uzbekistan's Planting Industry Growth Based on Shift-Share Method

Changes in the structure of the planting industry are an important indicator of the level of agricultural development. This paper applies the shift-share analysis method to analyse the growth of Uzbekistan’s planting industry from 2011 to 2018 into three parts: the national share, the industry mix and the regional shift component. The study found that the growth of Uzbekistan’s national planting industry has driven the growth of the planting industry in each state. Although the output of grain and cotton is still the main output of the planting industry, the scale of grain and cotton is relatively shrinking, and the output of vegetables, melons, fruits and berries, and grapes is on the rise. Because of the obvious differences in the impact of the planting industry structure and competitiveness on yield growth in Uzbekistan states, each state should formulate corresponding industrial policies according to the advantages and characteristics of planting industry.

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