THE ECONOMICS OF WATER-EFFICIENT TRANSITION.

Surkhandarya is strategically important as Uzbekistan's entry point to trade in South Asia. This thesis analyzes how the Termez International Trade Center affects local agribusinesses' ability to export goods. It specifically looks at how new logistical hubs and less "border friction" impact the profitability of high-value crops like citrus fruits, lemons, and pomegranates. Surkhandarya is strategically important as Uzbekistan's entry point to trade in South Asia. This thesis analyzes how the Termez International Trade Center affects local agribusinesses' ability to export goods. It specifically looks at how new logistical hubs and less "border friction" impact the profitability of high-value crops like citrus fruits, lemons, and pomegranates. The study contrasts traditional domestic sales with foreign export margins to Afghanistan and Pakistan using a cost-benefit analysis. Key bottlenecks, such as gaps in cold storage and certification requirements, are identified by the research. Results indicate that by maximizing "food miles" and cutting transaction costs, using Termez's distinct geographic advantage may improve regional agricultural GDP. In order to help local "clusters" better integrate into the Middle Corridor trade route, the thesis concludes with useful suggestions.

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