UZBEKISTAN'S GREEN ECONOMY TRANSITION STRATEGY 2019–2030: INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK, SECTORAL PRIORITIES, AND EXPECTED OUTCOMES

Abstract. This study examines Uzbekistan's Green Economy Transition Strategy for 2019–2030, adopted by Presidential Resolution No. PQ-4477 of 4 October 2019. The research analyses the Strategy's institutional architecture, four sectoral priority directions, financial mechanisms, and quantitative targets, evaluating their alignment with the country's Paris Agreement commitments ratified in 2018. The study applies qualitative policy document analysis combined with comparative benchmarking against analogous transition strategies in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Georgia. Institutional responsibilities are coded across eleven ministries and agencies, and policy instruments are classified as regulatory, fiscal, financial, informational, or capacity-building. Key findings show that by 2030 Uzbekistan aims to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions intensity per unit of GDP by 35% relative to 2010, raise renewable energy capacity to 15 GW (over 30% of electricity output), improve industrial energy efficiency by 20%, and introduce water-saving irrigation on one million hectares. The article identifies enabling conditions and institutional gaps that will determine implementation success, concluding that the Strategy provides a comprehensive low-carbon roadmap whose delivery depends on consistent interagency coordination, sustained international financing, and integration of green principles into national education and innovation systems. Keywords: green economy, low-carbon transition, renewable energy, energy efficiency, climate policy, Uzbekistan, Paris Agreement.

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