Статья

Trends and predictions of malnutrition and obesity in 204 countries and territories: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Bryan ChongYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, SingaporeJayanth JayabaskaranYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, SingaporeGwyneth KongYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, SingaporeYiong Huak ChanBiostatistics Unit, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University Health System, SingaporeYip Han ChinYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, SingaporeRachel GohYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, SingaporeKannan ShankarYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, SingaporeCheng Han NgYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, SingaporeShaun LoongYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, SingaporeMartin Tze Wah KuehRoyal College of Surgeons in Ireland & University College Dublin Malaysia Campus, MalaysiaChaoxing LinYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, SingaporeVickram Vijay AnandYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, SingaporeEthan Cheng Zhe LeeYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, SingaporeH.S. Jocelyn ChewDepartment of Cardiology, National University Heart Centre, National University Health System, SingaporeDarren Jun Hao TanYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, SingaporeKai En ChanYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, SingaporeJiong‐Wei WangCardiovascular Research Institute, National University Heart Centre, National University Health System, SingaporeMark MuthiahDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Hospital, SingaporeGeorgios K. DimitriadisDepartment of Endocrinology ASO/EASO COM, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Denmark Hill, London, UKDerek J. HausenloyCardiovascular & Metabolic Disorders Program, Duke-National University of Singapore Medical School, SingaporeAnurag MehtaDivision of Cardiology, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USARoger FooDepartment of Cardiology, National University Heart Centre, National University Health System, SingaporeGregory Y.H. LipDepartment of Clinical Medicine, Aalborg University, Aalborg, DenmarkMark Y. ChanDepartment of Cardiology, National University Heart Centre, National University Health System, SingaporeMamas A. MamasInstitute of Population Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UKCarel W. le RouxDiabetes Complications Research Centre, University College Dublin, Dublin, IrelandNicholas ChewDepartment of Cardiology, National University Heart Centre, National University Health System, Singapore

2023en

ABI

Аннотация

Background: Malnutrition and obesity are interdependent pathologies along the same spectrum. We examined global trends and projections of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and deaths from malnutrition and obesity until 2030. Methods: . Countries were stratified into low, low-middle, middle, high-middle, and high SDI bands. Regression models were constructed to predict DALYs and mortality up to 2030. Association between age-standardised prevalence of the diseases and mortality was also assessed. Findings: In 2019, age-standardised malnutrition-related DALYs was 680 (95% UI: 507-895) per 100,000 population. DALY rates decreased from 2000 to 2019 (-2.86% annually), projected to fall 8.4% from 2020 to 2030. Africa and low SDI countries observed highest malnutrition-related DALYs. Age-standardised obesity-related DALY estimates were 1933 (95% UI: 1277-2640). Obesity-related DALYs rose 0.48% annually from 2000 to 2019, predicted to increase by 39.8% from 2020 to 2030. Highest obesity-related DALYs were in Eastern Mediterranean and middle SDI countries. Interpretation: The ever-increasing obesity burden, on the backdrop of curbing the malnutrition burden, is predicted to rise further. Funding: None.

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Идентификаторы

DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.101850

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Цитирований: 2Использованных источников: 0

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