Supervised Risk Predictor of Breast Cancer Based on Intrinsic Subtypes
Joel S. ParkerFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchMichael E. MullinsFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchMaggie C.U. CheangFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchSamuel LeungFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchDavid VoducFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchTammi L. VickeryFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchSherri R. DaviesFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchChristiane FauronFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchXiaping HeFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchZhiyuan HuFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchJohn F. QuackenbushFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchInge J. StijlemanFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchJuan PalazzoFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchJ. S. MarronFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchAndrew B. NobelFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchElaine R. MardisFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchTorsten O. NielsenFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchMatthew J. EllisFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchCharles M. PerouFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health ResearchPhilip S. BernardFrom the Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center and Departments of Genetics, Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, and Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Carolina Center for Genome Sciences, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; Department of Pathology, University of Utah Health Sciences Center; ARUP Institute for Clinical and Experimental Pathology, Salt Lake City, UT; Genetic Pathology Evaluation Centre, Department of Pathology, Vancouver Coastal Health Research
2009en
ABI
Аннотация
UNLABELLED: PURPOSE To improve on current standards for breast cancer prognosis and prediction of chemotherapy benefit by developing a risk model that incorporates the gene expression-based "intrinsic" subtypes luminal A, luminal B, HER2-enriched, and basal-like. METHODS A 50-gene subtype predictor was developed using microarray and quantitative reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction data from 189 prototype samples. Test sets from 761 patients (no systemic therapy) were evaluated for prognosis, and 133 patients were evaluated for prediction of pathologic complete response (pCR) to a taxane and anthracycline regimen. RESULTS: The intrinsic subtypes as discrete entities showed prognostic significance (P = 2.26E-12) and remained significant in multivariable analyses that incorporated standard parameters (estrogen receptor status, histologic grade, tumor size, and node status). A prognostic model for node-negative breast cancer was built using intrinsic subtype and clinical information. The C-index estimate for the combined model (subtype and tumor size) was a significant improvement on either the clinicopathologic model or subtype model alone. The intrinsic subtype model predicted neoadjuvant chemotherapy efficacy with a negative predictive value for pCR of 97%. CONCLUSION Diagnosis by intrinsic subtype adds significant prognostic and predictive information to standard parameters for patients with breast cancer. The prognostic properties of the continuous risk score will be of value for the management of node-negative breast cancers. The subtypes and risk score can also be used to assess the likelihood of efficacy from neoadjuvant chemotherapy.
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