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National contributions to climate change due to historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide since 1850

Matthew W. JonesTyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia (UEA), Norwich, UK. [email protected]Glen P. PetersCICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, NorwayThomas GasserInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, AustriaRobbie M. AndrewCICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, NorwayClemens SchwingshacklLudwig Maximilian University of Munich, Munich, GermanyJohannes GütschowDepartment of Transformation Pathways, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, GermanyR. A. HoughtonWoodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA, USAPierre FriedlingsteinCollege of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UKJulia PongratzLudwig Maximilian University of Munich, Munich, GermanyCorinne Le QuéréTyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia (UEA), Norwich, UK
2023en
ABI

Аннотация

Abstract Anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), methane (CH 4 ) and nitrous oxide (N 2 O) have made significant contributions to global warming since the pre-industrial period and are therefore targeted in international climate policy. There is substantial interest in tracking and apportioning national contributions to climate change and informing equitable commitments to decarbonisation. Here, we introduce a new dataset of national contributions to global warming caused by historical emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide during the years 1851–2021, which are consistent with the latest findings of the IPCC. We calculate the global mean surface temperature response to historical emissions of the three gases, including recent refinements which account for the short atmospheric lifetime of CH 4 . We report national contributions to global warming resulting from emissions of each gas, including a disaggregation to fossil and land use sectors. This dataset will be updated annually as national emissions datasets are updated.

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