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1. Methodologies for Evaluating the Socio‐Economic Consequences of Large Earthquakes

Stephanie KingBlume Earthquake Center Stanford University Stanford CA 94305‐4020Anne S. KiremidjianBlume Earthquake Center Stanford University Stanford CA 94305‐4020Nesrin BasözBlume Earthquake Center Stanford University Stanford CA 94305‐4020Kincho H. LawBlume Earthquake Center Stanford University Stanford CA 94305‐4020Mladen VučetićDept. of Civil and Env. Engineering UCLA Los Angeles CA 90095‐1593Macan DoroudianDept. of Civil and Env. Engineering UCLA Los Angeles CA 90095‐1593Robert OlsonEERC UC Berkeley, 1301 S. 46th St. Richmond CA 94804‐4698John EidingerEERC UC Berkeley, 1301 S. 46th St. Richmond CA 94804‐4698Kenneth A. GoettelEERC UC Berkeley, 1301 S. 46th St. Richmond CA 94804‐4698Gerald L. HornerEERC UC Berkeley, 1301 S. 46th St. Richmond CA 94804‐4698
1997en
ABI

Аннотация

A comprehensive methodology for evaluating the socio‐economic impacts of large earthquakes was developed during a three‐year project carried out by a team of researchers assembled by the nonprofit organization California Universities for Research in Earthquake Engineering (CUREe). New models were developed for some of the methodology components, such as the identification and ranking of critical facilities. For other components, such as the estimation of building and lifeline component damage, existing models from the ATC‐13 and NIBS studies were adopted and modified for use within a GIS environment. The methodology was illustrated through a case study for the city of Palo Alto, California. Damage and loss estimates were made for several earthquake scenarios. Critical buildings were identified and the water distribution system for the city was analyzed in terms of its post‐earthquake service capacity. An analysis of the hospital facilities in Palo Alto was made to illustrate the use of benefit‐cost analysis for seismic rehabilitation decisions.

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