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Indication of a Universal Persistence Law Governing Atmospheric Variability

Eva Koscielny–BundeInstitut für Theoretische Physik III, Universität Giessen, D-35392 Giessen, GermanyArmin BundeInstitut für Theoretische Physik III, Universität Giessen, D-35392 Giessen, GermanyShlomo HavlinInstitut für Theoretische Physik III, Universität Giessen, D-35392 Giessen, GermanyH. Eduardo RomanDipartimento di Fisica and I.N.F.N., Università di Milano, I-20133 Milano, ItalyYair GoldreichDepartment of Meteorology, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat Gan, 52900, IsraelHans Joachim SchellnhuberPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany
1998en
ABI

Аннотация

We study the temporal correlations in the atmospheric variability by 14 meteorological stations around the globe, the variations of the daily maximum temperatures from their average values. We apply several methods that can systematically overcome possible nonstationarities in the data. We find that the persistence, characterized by the correlation C(s) of temperature variations separated by s days, approximately decays $C(s)\ensuremath{\sim}{s}^{\ensuremath{-}\ensuremath{\gamma}}$, with roughly the same exponent $\ensuremath{\gamma}\ensuremath{\cong}0.7$ for all stations considered. The range of this universal persistence law seems to exceed one decade, and is possibly even larger than the range of the temperature series considered.

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