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Earth beyond six of nine planetary boundaries

Katherine RichardsonGlobe Institute, Faculty of Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, DenmarkWill SteffenAustralian National University, Canberra, AustraliaWolfgang LuchtDepartment of Geography, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, GermanyJørgen BendtsenGlobe Institute, Faculty of Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, DenmarkSarah CornellStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, SwedenJonathan F. DongesPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, GermanyMarkus DrükePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, GermanyIngo FetzerBolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, SwedenGovindasamy BalaCentre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, Karnataka – 560012, IndiaWerner von BlohPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, GermanyGeorg FeulnerPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, GermanyStephanie FiedlerGEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel and Faculty for Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel, Kiel, GermanyDieter GertenDepartment of Geography, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, GermanyTom GleesonDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, CanadaMatthias HofmannPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, GermanyWillem HuiskampPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, GermanyMatti KummuWater and Development Research Group, Aalto University, Espoo, FinlandChinchu MohanGEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel and Faculty for Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel, Kiel, GermanyDavid Nogués‐BravoGlobe Institute, Faculty of Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, DenmarkStefan PetriPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, GermanyMiina PorkkaWater and Development Research Group, Aalto University, Espoo, FinlandStefan RahmstorfInstitute of Physics and Astronomy, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, GermanySibyll SchaphoffPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, GermanyKirsten ThonickePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, GermanyArne TobianLeibniz AssociationVili VirkkiWater and Development Research Group, Aalto University, Espoo, FinlandLan Wang‐ErlandssonBolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, SwedenL. WeberGEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel and Faculty for Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel, Kiel, GermanyJohan RockströmInstitute for Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
2023en
ABI

Аннотация

This planetary boundaries framework update finds that six of the nine boundaries are transgressed, suggesting that Earth is now well outside of the safe operating space for humanity. Ocean acidification is close to being breached, while aerosol loading regionally exceeds the boundary. Stratospheric ozone levels have slightly recovered. The transgression level has increased for all boundaries earlier identified as overstepped. As primary production drives Earth system biosphere functions, human appropriation of net primary production is proposed as a control variable for functional biosphere integrity. This boundary is also transgressed. Earth system modeling of different levels of the transgression of the climate and land system change boundaries illustrates that these anthropogenic impacts on Earth system must be considered in a systemic context.

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