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Real-time Analytics in Financial Market Forecasting: A Big Data Approach

Muhammad Eid BalbaaDepartment of World Economy, Tashkent State University of Economics, UzbekistanОлим АстанакуловDepartment of Finance, International Islamic Academy of Uzbekistan, UzbekistanNilufar IsmailovaDepartment of World Economy, Tashkent State University of Economics, UzbekistanНилуфар БатироваDepartment of Finance, International Islamic Academy of Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan
2023en
ABI

Аннотация

The dynamism and complexity inherent in today's financial markets necessitate sophisticated predictive analytics tools that can facilitate decision-making in real-time. However, traditional forecasting methodologies often fall short in harnessing the vast volumes of real-time data generated by these markets. This study introduces a transformative approach, known as the Real-time Big Data Financial Forecasting Model (<Formula format="inline"><TexMath><?TeX $RBD{F}^{2M}$ ?></TexMath><File name="a00--inline1" type="gif"/></Formula>), which amalgamates real-time analytics, big data technologies, and machine learning algorithms to predict financial market trends. Through a robust computational architecture that efficiently processes and analyzes high-frequency trading data, the RBDF^2M model aims to provide accurate and timely forecasts of asset price movements. Employing time-series analysis techniques, particularly Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, this model is tested across multiple financial instruments to evaluate its predictive efficacy. Our results indicate a substantial improvement in forecast accuracy compared to conventional methodologies, along with significant reductions in computational latency. The research further explores the implications of these findings, notably the potential for augmented trading strategies and risk management protocols. Finally, the paper discusses the ethical considerations associated with the deployment of such advanced predictive systems in financial markets, arguing for the necessity of regulatory frameworks to mitigate the risks of market manipulation and systemic failure.

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