Assessing the impact of climate change on sunflower yields using mathematical modeling

The article examines the agroclimatic conditions for influencing sunflower yield formation under the influence of climate change according to the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Based on a water-heat regime and sunflower productivity formation model, calculations and a comparative analysis of sunflower and seed yields were conducted for the climate periods 1986-2005 and 2031-2050. Under both scenarios, the expected climate and weather conditions are expected to be more favourable for sunflower cultivation in the Eastern Forest-Steppe of Ukraine. The highest risk of sunflower seed yield shortfalls in certain years is anticipated in the Southern Steppe of Ukraine, with the most significant losses expected under the RCP4.5 scenario.

Ҳали таржима қилинмаган