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An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts

Norman C. DalkeyThe RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CaliforniaOlaf HelmerThe RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California
1963en
ABI

Аннотация

This paper gives an account of an experiment in the use of the so-called DELPHI method, which was devised in order to obtain the most reliable opinion consensus of a group of experts by subjecting them to a series of questionnaires in depth interspersed with controlled opinion feedback.

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