Тошкент шаҳри турар-жой фондининг симуляцион моделлар асосида эҳтимолий сценарли зилзилалар иқтисодий талафотларини таҳлили

In this article, the potential damage to residential buildings in the city of Tashkent was assessedthrough a modern digital simulation approach based on the parameters of various possible earthquake scenarios. Thestudy conducted scenario-based assessments that took into account the propagation of seismic impact, groundconditions, building types, their economic value, and structural features. According to the research findings,earthquake damage predominantly affects residential buildings that are part of the seismically vulnerable buildingstock, constructed from local materials, lacking adequate engineering solutions, and not fully compliant with seismiccodes.The article assesses the damage levels of residential buildings, potential economic losses, and the degree ofrisk to the population, comparing the results with historical data from the 1966 earthquake. The findings of thisresearch are of significant scientific and practical importance for forecasting the consequences of strong earthquakesin urban areas and for developing measures to mitigate seismic risk.

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