ANALYSIS OF THE PROBABILITY OF BANKRUPTCY OF «UZBEKISTON TEMIR YULLARI» JSC

This work is an analysis of the probability of bankruptcy of Uzbekistan Temir Yullari JSC using methods and models of probabilistic analysis. The article discusses various aspects that influence the financial condition of the company, such as the two-factor “Altman Z model”, the five-factor “Altman Z model”, the “Lis model” and the “Saifullin model”. The main focus is on the development of models and methods for predicting insolvency and their application in risk assessment and decision-making in corporate financial management. The results and conclusions of the study will be useful to shareholders and creditors, as well as business managers when making strategic decisions and managing financial risks.

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