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Bidding for Industrial Plants: Does Winning a 'Million Dollar Plant' Increase Welfare?

Michael GreenstoneDepartment of Economics Department of Economics MIT, E-52 UCLA 50 Memorial Drive 405 Hilgard Avenue Cambridge, MA 02142-1347 Los Angeles, CA 90095-1477Enrico MorettiDepartment of Economics Department of Economics MIT, E-52 UCLA 50 Memorial Drive 405 Hilgard Avenue Cambridge, MA 02142-1347 Los Angeles, CA 90095-1477
2003en
ABI

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Increasingly, local governments compete by offering substantial subsidies to industrial plants to locate within their jurisdictions. This paper uses a novel research design to examine the consequences of successfully bidding for a plant on county-level labor earnings, property values, and public finances. Each issue of the corporate real estate journal Site Selection includes an article titled "The Million Dollar Plant" that describes how a large plant decided where to locate. These articles report the county where the plant chose to locate (i.e., the 'winner'), as well as the one or two runner-up counties (i.e., the 'losers'). The losers are counties that have survived a long selection process, but narrowly lost the competition. We use these revealed rankings of profit-maximizing firms to form a counterfactual for what would have happened in the winner counties in the absence of the plant opening.

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