Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan
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Annotatsiya
Observations of some phenomenon, the nature of which changes over time, generates an ordered sequence, which is called a time series. The statistical regularity of the series of dynamics ȳ t the average potato yield in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan (based on the materials of the CSO of the Republic of Uzbekistan for 2000-2018 year) was studied by the method of statistical analysis of time series. Point and interval estimates for the average potato yield were built with a 95% guarantee, explicit types of trends were identified and the yield in the Tashkent region was predicted for subsequent years. Using the Darbin-Watson statistical criteria, it was found that the average potato yield in the region has autocorrelation dependence.
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